DAILY CHEAT SHEET

Tonight's slate, every team's angle, the softest DvP spots, and the props the sim loves and hates. Live numbers from today's build.

TONIGHT'S SLATE

spread · total · sim total vs the number · tap a game to jump to it

7:00 PM

LAL8-2at

ATL7-4Out: Grimes, Newell, Gilbert, Landale · Q: ReavesATL -2.5233.5242 SIM +8 ▲7:00 PM

CLE5-5at

CHA3-7Out: Merrill, Tyson, Williams, Knueppel · Q: Allen, DiabateCLE -8.5215.5227 SIM +12 ▲7:00 PM

WAS4-6at

DET6-2Out: Vukcevic, Beekman, Champagnie, Watkins · Q: DavisDET -9.5218.5225 SIM +6 ▲7:40 PM

MEM6-3at

TOR5-4Out: Pippen, Stewart, Saunders, Bittle · Q: Murray-Boyles, Quickley, BarnesMEM -1.5225.5234 SIM +8 ▲8:30 PM

IND3-7at

DAL5-4Out: Haliburton, Furphy, Sheppard, Larrea · Q: McConnellDAL -4.5226.5230 SIM +4 ▲8:30 PM

DEN5-3at

HOU7-3Out: Strawther, Tshiebwe, Capela, Adams · Q: Johnson, DeRozan, BraunHOU -4.5223.5236 SIM +12 ▲9:00 PM

SAS8-2at

PHX3-5Out: Harris, Quaintance, Goodwin, Williams · Q: VassellSA -8.5226.5230 SIM +4 ▲10:00 PM

NOP4-5at

GSW7-3Out: Missi, Richard, Porzingis, Moody · Q: SantosGS -11.5229.5236 SIM +6 ▲

TEAM BY TEAM

offense / defense per 100 possessions · this season

LAL at ATL

7:00 PM ET

ATL -2.5TOTAL 233.5SIM TOTAL 242 SIM +8 ▲

LAL8-2SIM WIN 59%

OFF #1 · 121.4DEF #21 · 113.7PACE 101

Out: Grimes · Q: Reaves

Offense is the story: #1 in the league (121.4 per 100) - ATL's #12 defense gets tested.

ATL7-4SIM WIN 41%

OFF #11 · 114.7DEF #12 · 111.6PACE 101

Out: Newell, Gilbert, Landale, Gueye, Veesaar

Mismatch edge: their offense runs 6.7 per 100 hotter than LAL's.

THE LOOK

Sandro MamukelashviliPRA · LAL vs ATL · OVER 13.5 · -12082%FAIR -456

Dyson Daniels3PM · ATL vs LAL · UNDER 0.5 · -22092%FAIR -1150

CLE at CHA

7:00 PM ET

CLE -8.5TOTAL 215.5SIM TOTAL 227 SIM +12 ▲

CLE5-5SIM WIN 69%

OFF #10 · 115.2DEF #16 · 112.4PACE 98

Out: Merrill, Tyson · Q: Allen

Mismatch edge: their offense runs 15.3 per 100 hotter than CHA's.

CHA3-7SIM WIN 31%

OFF #30 · 99.9DEF #23 · 113.8PACE 98

Out: Williams, Knueppel, Schroder, Miller · Q: Diabate

Out: Williams, Knueppel - and a bottom-third offense (#30) has no spare shot creation to lose.

THE LOOK

Peyton WatsonSTL · CLE vs CHA · OVER 0.5 · -17864%FAIR -178

Royce O'NealeAST · CHA vs CLE · UNDER 2.5 · -15778%FAIR -355

WAS at DET

7:00 PM ET

DET -9.5TOTAL 218.5SIM TOTAL 225 SIM +6 ▲

WAS4-6SIM WIN 16%

OFF #22 · 108.1DEF #20 · 113.1PACE 99

Out: Vukcevic, Beekman, Champagnie, Watkins · Q: Davis

Out: Vukcevic, Beekman - and a bottom-third offense (#22) has no spare shot creation to lose.

DET6-2SIM WIN 84%

OFF #17 · 112.5DEF #1 · 103.2PACE 99

Out: Duren, Joe

Defense travels: #1 unit (103.2 per 100) against a #22 offense.

THE LOOK

John CollinsREB · DET vs WAS · OVER 5.5 · -13066%FAIR -194

Cade CunninghamAST · DET vs WAS · UNDER 8.5 · +10086%FAIR -614

MEM at TOR

7:40 PM ET

MEM -1.5TOTAL 225.5SIM TOTAL 234 SIM +8 ▲

MEM6-3SIM WIN 40%

OFF #12 · 114.5DEF #8 · 108.6PACE 100

Out: Pippen, Stewart, Saunders

Balanced profile: #12 offense, #8 defense - no single leak, the total is the tell.

TOR5-4SIM WIN 60%

OFF #8 · 116.5DEF #10 · 111.2PACE 100

Out: Bittle, Leonard · Q: Murray-Boyles, Quickley, Barnes

Balanced profile: #8 offense, #10 defense - no single leak, the total is the tell.

THE LOOK

Ja'Kobe WalterAST · TOR vs MEM · OVER 1.5 · -16087%FAIR -669

Cam SpencerAST · MEM vs TOR · UNDER 4.5 · -10280%FAIR -400

IND at DAL

8:30 PM ET

DAL -4.5TOTAL 226.5SIM TOTAL 230 SIM +4 ▲

IND3-7SIM WIN 43%

OFF #20 · 109.1DEF #14 · 112.4PACE 101

Out: Haliburton, Furphy, Sheppard · Q: McConnell

Out: Haliburton, Furphy - and a bottom-third offense (#20) has no spare shot creation to lose.

DAL5-4SIM WIN 57%

OFF #18 · 112.4DEF #11 · 111.4PACE 101

Out: Larrea, Biberovic, Lively

Balanced profile: #18 offense, #11 defense - no single leak, the total is the tell.

THE LOOK

Pascal SiakamAST · IND vs DAL · OVER 2.5 · -17568%FAIR -213

Ivica ZubacSTL · IND vs DAL · UNDER 0.5 · -21079%FAIR -376

DEN at HOU

8:30 PM ET

HOU -4.5TOTAL 223.5SIM TOTAL 236 SIM +12 ▲

DEN5-3SIM WIN 39%

OFF #9 · 115.4DEF #22 · 113.7PACE 97

Out: Strawther · Q: Johnson, DeRozan, Braun

Balanced profile: #9 offense, #22 defense - no single leak, the total is the tell.

HOU7-3SIM WIN 61%

OFF #2 · 118.5DEF #9 · 109.4PACE 97

Out: Tshiebwe, Capela, Adams

Offense is the story: #2 in the league (118.5 per 100) - DEN's #22 defense gets tested.

THE LOOK

Christian BraunAST · DEN vs HOU · OVER 1.5 · -16469%FAIR -223

Marcus SmartAST · HOU vs DEN · UNDER 3.5 · -61488%FAIR -733

SAS at PHX

9:00 PM ET

SA -8.5TOTAL 226.5SIM TOTAL 230 SIM +4 ▲

SAS8-2SIM WIN 76%

OFF #4 · 117.3DEF #6 · 107.0PACE 98

Out: Harris, Quaintance · Q: Vassell

Offense is the story: #4 in the league (117.3 per 100) - PHX's #28 defense gets tested.

PHX3-5SIM WIN 24%

OFF #14 · 113.9DEF #28 · 119.8PACE 98

Out: Goodwin, Williams

Balanced profile: #14 offense, #28 defense - no single leak, the total is the tell.

THE LOOK

Oso IghodaroPR · PHX vs SAS · OVER 10.5 · -12875%FAIR -300

Luke KornetSTL · SAS vs PHX · UNDER 0.5 · -21090%FAIR -900

NOP at GSW

10:00 PM ET

GS -11.5TOTAL 229.5SIM TOTAL 236 SIM +6 ▲

NOP4-5SIM WIN 40%

OFF #16 · 113.2DEF #13 · 111.9PACE 100

Out: Missi

Balanced profile: #16 offense, #13 defense - no single leak, the total is the tell.

GSW7-3SIM WIN 60%

OFF #5 · 117.0DEF #17 · 112.5PACE 100

Out: Richard, Porzingis, Moody, Butler · Q: Santos

Offense is the story: #5 in the league (117.0 per 100) - NOP's #13 defense gets tested.

THE LOOK

Karlo Matkovic3PM · NOP vs GSW · OVER 0.5 · -21079%FAIR -376

Bennedict MathurinREB · NOP vs GSW · UNDER 3.5 · -13188%FAIR -733

TOP OFFENSES · PTS PER 100 POSS · SEASON

LAL ●121.4

HOU ●118.5

POR118.0

TOUGHEST DEFENSES · ALLOWED PER 100

DET ●103.2

OKC105.5

MIN106.0

SOFTEST DVP SPOTS

defense vs position · this season

2.1

CLE vs C · threes allowed a game+81% vs league · #30 soft

6.3

PHX vs SF · assists allowed a game+48% vs league · #30 soft

6.6

DEN vs SG · assists allowed a game+40% vs league · #30 soft

TOP PROPS · SIM LOVES THE OVER

counted sims at the posted line

Ja'Kobe WalterAST · TOR vs MEM · OVER 1.5 · -16087%FAIR -669

Sandro MamukelashviliPRA · LAL vs ATL · OVER 13.5 · -12082%FAIR -456

Karlo Matkovic3PM · NOP vs GSW · OVER 0.5 · -21079%FAIR -376

THE FADE LINE

Dyson Daniels3PM · ATL vs LAL · UNDER 0.5 · -22092%FAIR -1150

Luke KornetSTL · SAS vs PHX · UNDER 0.5 · -21090%FAIR -900

Bennedict MathurinREB · NOP vs GSW · UNDER 3.5 · -13188%FAIR -733

HOW TO READ IT SIM % = share of counted sims landing on that side of the posted line. FAIR = the price that % implies. DvP rank #30 = softest matchup in the league. Team ratings are per 100 possessions, this season.

PROPEDIA.APP Mock on today's (Nov 9) data · not the live site
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